Drastically cheapened Ethylene.
David Judbarovski, systems engineering, principle inventor. Judbarovski.blogspot.com, judbarovski@gmail.com. Notes. (1) Solar and Wind energy can be cheapened down to $ 0.01/kWh and even much less. [1]. (2) Roadmap to cheap and green hydrocarbon fuels. [1]. (3) Cheapening of oil and gas production down to $ 6-7.4/bbl [2].
Abstract.
Ethylene OPEX cost can be $70/ton vs more than $1000/ton now.
How it works:
It is a two-steps chemical process.
(1) CH2(abbreviation of hydrocarbons) + H2O = CO + 2H2. dH = 167, dS = 245.
(2) 2CO + 4H2 = C2H4 + 2H2O - exothermic reacton. Here 4H2 is circular, and so being practically free.
Q (CO) = (14 * 52 + 167 * 1.1)/28 = $33.O/ton CO.
Q (C2H4) = 2*28*33/28 = $66/ton C2H4.
In the another case, 2CH4 = C2H4 + 2H2, dH = 2 * 75 - 53 = 97 kJ, dS = 219 + 262 - 2 * 186 = 129 J.
Q (2C2H4) = (2 * 16 * 55 + 97 * 1.1) / 28 = $67 / ton C2H4. 2H2 is a by-product, can be used here in 0.5 CH4, circular + 0.5 CO2, so totally will be $47 /ton C2H4.
References.
[1] A roadmap to cheap and green hydrocarbon fuels. judbarovski.blogspot.com/2026/07, posted on July 15, 2026.
{2] Cheapening of oil and gas... judbarovski.blogspot.com/2026/09, posted on September 26, 2026.
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